5/28/2023 0 Comments Has china won by kishore mahbubani![]() In many ways, the outcome is pre-determined. All of Asia is watching intently to see who will blink in the current Australia-China standoff. Now Australia has dug itself into a hole. It would have been wiser and more prudent to make such a call privately. This is why it was unwise for Australia to slap China in the face publicly by calling for an international inquiry on China and COVID-19. That happened only because Australia became, functionally, an economic province of China: In 2018-2019, 33 percent of its exports went to China, whereas only 5 percent went to the United States. Australians have been proud of their remarkable three decades of recession-free growth. Its economy is highly dependent on China. The big strategic game in Asia isn’t military but economic.Īustralia is the most vulnerable. Second, and more fundamentally, they are in the wrong game. Unfortunately, the Quad will not alter the course of Asian history for two simple reasons: First, the four countries have different geopolitical interests and vulnerabilities. And it’s equally legitimate for them to hedge by cooperating in the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, informally known as the Quad. It will be uncomfortable living with a more powerful China. Australia, India, Japan, and the United States have perfectly legitimate concerns about China. ![]()
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